On February 2nd, RyeBlog readers made their predicictions about who would win the game based on the pictures (and bios) alone. You can go back and read the Survivor 12 Predictions. As far as scoring goes – nobody picked Aras to win from our blog (although the Professional Booking agents had him at 5 to 1, above Terry at 6-1)
Outwit Danielle & Aras
Here’s a fun mental game to see who could “outwit” Aras and Danielle. Suppose someone – for the sake of this situation, we’ll call that someone “Shane” were to say to you: “Pick a number between 1 and 1 million.” What number would you pick if you went first? What number would you pick if you went second?
Here’s how it broke down. Aras picked “4″ and then Danielle picked “10″. The first person to explain why Danielle and Aras are both idiots based on these decisions gets a high-five.
To put Aras in perspective – some random loser (scroll down to the bottom of the discussion thread) posted a description of him before he was on Survivor. Aparently he was a hothead poser before Survivor even started.
Tags: Survivor
May 15th, 2006 at 3:13 pm
The issue here is the question of “what was Shane asking?” If he had a number in his head and he just wanted to see who would get cloest then no big deal (see below). Otherwise, maybe he was asking because he wanted to psychoanalyze each player. Maybe he thought a person is strange if they pick an odd number – an even number meaning a person isn’t odd? Or, what about a person who thinks about numbers in the 6 digit range versus a person who thinks below the number 100 – doesn’t that say anything about a person?
Anyway, if I guessed first I, I suppose I would pick 500,000 – since I’d have a 50% chance of having the closest guess.
If I guessed second, (and the first guess was 4) I would guess 5.
May 15th, 2006 at 10:20 pm
Brian – you nailed it.
If you were going to pick one of the numbers based on some kind of psychological assumption, I would think that guessing the age of Shane’s son would be a good one. Or perhaps his birthday.
4 is not a very good guess for the freeloading (now rich) bum – but 10 was even dumber.
May 16th, 2006 at 7:53 am
May 18th, 2006 at 5:40 am
I didn’t watch the last few episodes of Survivor because I’m behind on my Tivoed programs, and seeing that Aras won I don’t think I will watch them. But does it come down to Danielle and Aras at the end? I picked Danielle to be the winner, and I think that should get some credit. She was a long shot.